Fri, Feb 27 2026 • 19:00 •
GelreDome
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.75)
2.24 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.9% | 20.2% | 50.8% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitesse | 0 | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 10% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 29% | 32% | 14% | 50% | 32% |
| Draws | 29% | 36% | 32% | 7% | 14% | 11% |
| Loses | 36% | 36% | 36% | 79% | 36% | 57% |
VitesseLDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLDWDLDWDL
Jong AZLLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 30 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 21 | 24 | 45 | 30 | 25 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitesse | Jong AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 86% | 75% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 54% | 54% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 36% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 11% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.47 @ Pinnacle
No2.77 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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