Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • Jan Louwers Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.77) 1.31 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 19.8% 21.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC EindhovenJong Ajax
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack43%50%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Eindhoven Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%27%34%27%14%21%
Draws14%13%14%33%21%28%
Loses43%60%52%40%64%52%

Form: FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLLLLWLDWLWWWLWDLLWLL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDW

League goals

Metric FC Eindhoven Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total261541241640
GF avg1.91.01.41.61.11.4
GA total242953242953
GA avg1.71.91.81.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC EindhovenJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%76%72%83%
1.534%55%41%59%
2.528%28%14%28%
3.510%14%7%14%
4.53%7%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC EindhovenJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets437325
Failed to score4610448

Penalties

MetricFC EindhovenJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricFC EindhovenJong Ajax
Wins31
Draws13
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-35-11-2
Biggest losses0-46-02-44-0
Goals For5453
Goals Against4644

Model comparison

MetricFC EindhovenJong Ajax
Form30%70%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : FC Eindhoven or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Unibet
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Eindhoven = 2.26 (league 1.77), Jong Ajax = 1.31 (league 1.43)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 21.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1