Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:15 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.74) 1.47 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 21.9% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.4% 9.4% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapVitesse
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack91%64%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Vitesse
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%47%48%40%29%34%
Draws21%27%24%27%36%31%
Loses29%27%28%33%36%34%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWD • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLDWDLDWDLW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total282755232043
GF avg2.01.81.91.51.41.5
GA total212344212445
GA avg1.51.51.51.41.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%86%76%83%
1.566%45%52%52%
2.534%17%14%14%
3.57%3%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score145257

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapVitesse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapVitesse
Wins42
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-10-4
Biggest losses2-42-00-44-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapVitesse
Form58%42%
Att59%41%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 188Bet
Draw4.39 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ 188Bet
No3.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.95 (league 1.74), Vitesse = 1.47 (league 1.43)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.4% 9.4% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 5.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1