Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.77) 1.56 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 22.1% 31.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.0% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxDen Bosch
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack57%50%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Den Bosch
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins27%13%20%47%27%37%
Draws33%20%27%27%20%23%
Loses40%67%53%27%53%40%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDWL • Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLWWLWLLWLLDDLWDDD

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Den Bosch
HATHAT
GF total241741312152
GF avg1.61.11.42.11.41.7
GA total243155223254
GA avg1.62.11.81.52.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxDen Bosch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%83%87%87%
1.540%60%53%60%
2.513%27%17%23%
3.57%13%10%3%
4.53%0%7%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxDen Bosch
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score448134

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxDen Bosch
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxDen Bosch
Wins12
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-25-22-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-36-0
Goals For5354
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxDen Bosch
Form54%46%
Att53%47%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Den Bosch

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away2.12 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ 188Bet
No2.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.90 (league 1.77), Den Bosch = 1.56 (league 1.43)

Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.0% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 31.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1