Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.73) 0.92 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 17.0% 12.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong UtrechtHelmond Sport
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack21%43%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Utrecht Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins33%20%27%44%14%30%
Draws33%27%30%25%14%20%
Loses33%53%43%31%71%50%

Form: Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDLDWWLWLWDDDDLLLL • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLDDLDLWWLLD

League goals

Metric Jong Utrecht Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total301747271037
GF avg2.01.11.61.70.71.2
GA total292453252954
GA avg1.91.61.81.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong UtrechtHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%77%77%
1.550%57%37%53%
2.520%27%7%33%
3.510%7%3%13%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong UtrechtHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets314437
Failed to score268167

Penalties

MetricJong UtrechtHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricJong UtrechtHelmond Sport
Wins22
Draws42
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-31-44-20-3
Biggest losses2-44-02-45-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricJong UtrechtHelmond Sport
Form13%88%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Helmond Sport

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.53 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Utrecht = 2.43 (league 1.73), Helmond Sport = 0.92 (league 1.45)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.6% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 12.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1