Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.74) 1.64 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 23.4% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 4.1% 6.7% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.4% 10.4% 8.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVVVV Venlo
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack43%29%
Defense29%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV VVV Venlo
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins36%19%27%40%33%37%
Draws29%25%27%7%20%13%
Loses36%56%47%53%47%50%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDD • VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLLWWWLLDDWDDLL

League goals

Metric MVV VVV Venlo
HATHAT
GF total231336172138
GF avg1.60.81.21.11.41.3
GA total243559212546
GA avg1.72.22.01.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVVVV Venlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%70%80%
1.540%53%37%53%
2.517%33%13%20%
3.53%20%7%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVVVV Venlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224336
Failed to score3912639

Penalties

MetricMVVVVV Venlo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMVVVVV Venlo
Wins23
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-44-02-4
Biggest losses2-45-00-33-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricMVVVVV Venlo
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals78%22%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : MVV or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away2.19 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.85 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.57 (league 1.74), VVV Venlo = 1.64 (league 1.45)

VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 4.1% 6.7% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.4% 10.4% 8.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 39.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1