Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • GelreDome
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.77) 1.86 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 21.8% 39.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.7% 8.7% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseAlmere City FC
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack71%57%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Almere City FC
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%33%37%53%40%47%
Draws27%33%30%13%7%10%
Loses33%33%33%33%53%43%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLDWDLDWDLWW • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Vitesse Almere City FC
HATHAT
GF total232447332861
GF avg1.51.61.62.21.92.0
GA total212546183250
GA avg1.41.71.51.22.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseAlmere City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%83%87%77%
1.553%50%60%57%
2.517%13%33%23%
3.510%7%20%7%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseAlmere City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325617
Failed to score257224

Penalties

MetricVitesseAlmere City FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVitesseAlmere City FC
Wins27
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-45-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-02-45-2
Goals For3454
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricVitesseAlmere City FC
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h33%67%
Goals27%73%
Total47.7%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almere City FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away2.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.78 (league 1.77), Almere City FC = 1.86 (league 1.43)

Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.7% 8.7% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.2% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 39.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1