Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:00 •
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.77)
1.17 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.8% | 23.6% | 25.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| MVV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong AZ | 0 | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 83% | 50% |
| Defense | 42% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| Wins | 14% | 47% | 31% | 36% | 19% | 27% |
| Draws | 7% | 13% | 10% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 79% | 40% | 59% | 36% | 56% | 47% |
Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDL • MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 30 | 49 | 23 | 13 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 30 | 27 | 57 | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong AZ | MVV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 86% | 60% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 59% | 40% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 31% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 21% | 3% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong AZ | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.74 (league 1.77), MVV = 1.17 (league 1.43)
| MVV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong AZ | 0 | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 25.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1