Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 •
Yanmar Stadion
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.77)
1.42 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.3% | 23.3% | 31.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Waalwijk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almere City FC | 0 | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 57% |
| Defense | 36% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 53% | 40% | 47% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 13% | 7% | 10% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
| Loses | 33% | 53% | 43% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLW • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLLWDWDWLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 28 | 61 | 24 | 26 | 50 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 18 | 32 | 50 | 23 | 21 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 77% | 90% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 57% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 23% | 17% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 7% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-2 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almere City FC | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 40.2% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Waalwijk
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 1.74 (league 1.77), Waalwijk = 1.42 (league 1.43)
| Waalwijk | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almere City FC | 0 | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 31.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1