Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.73) 2.10 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 20.2% 38.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
7.1%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
1 3.2% 6.7% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.3% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.3% 4.8% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxAlmere City FC
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack91%100%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Almere City FC
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins31%19%25%50%44%47%
Draws31%19%25%19%6%13%
Loses38%63%50%31%50%41%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDWLWW • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Almere City FC
HATHAT
GF total271845353166
GF avg1.71.11.42.21.92.1
GA total263157203353
GA avg1.61.91.81.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxAlmere City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%81%88%78%
1.541%59%63%56%
2.516%25%34%22%
3.56%13%19%6%
4.53%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxAlmere City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets336617
Failed to score448224

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxAlmere City FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxAlmere City FC
Wins17
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-25-01-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-45-2
Goals For5354
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxAlmere City FC
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total46.0%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almere City FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ BetVictor
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 2.07 (league 1.73), Almere City FC = 2.10 (league 1.45)

Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
1 3.2% 6.7% 7.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.3% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 2.3% 4.8% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 38.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1