Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:45 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

0 - 5
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.73) 1.88 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 22.2% 44.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.0% 9.4% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVWillem II
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack44%63%
Defense50%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Willem II
HATHAT
Played151732151631
Wins40%18%28%47%44%45%
Draws27%29%28%27%25%26%
Loses33%53%44%27%31%29%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDDWD • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDWLWDW

League goals

Metric MVV Willem II
HATHAT
GF total251439192645
GF avg1.70.81.21.31.61.5
GA total253661132538
GA avg1.72.11.90.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%87%74%
1.541%50%45%32%
2.516%31%13%6%
3.53%19%0%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224448
Failed to score3912314

Penalties

MetricMVVWillem II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMVVWillem II
Wins23
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-43-00-3
Biggest losses2-45-01-25-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against4525

Model comparison

MetricMVVWillem II
Form38%63%
Att41%59%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Willem II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.78 @ Pinnacle
Away1.58 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ 188Bet
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.57 (league 1.73), Willem II = 1.88 (league 1.45)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 3.2% 6.0% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.0% 9.4% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 44.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1