Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:45 •
De Geusselt
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.75)
1.93 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 21.9% | 45.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Willem II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MVV | 0 | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MVV | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MVV | Willem II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 18% | 28% | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Draws | 27% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 25% | 26% |
| Loses | 33% | 53% | 44% | 27% | 31% | 29% |
MVVLLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDDWD
Willem IILLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | MVV | Willem II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 14 | 39 | 19 | 26 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 25 | 36 | 61 | 13 | 25 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MVV | Willem II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 88% | 87% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 50% | 45% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 31% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 19% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MVV | Willem II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | MVV | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | MVV | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MVV | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.78 @ Pinnacle
Away1.58 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.45 @ 188Bet
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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