Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:45 • Koning Willem II Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.73) 1.12 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 28.8% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWillem IIDe Graafschap
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack57%38%
Defense86%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Willem II De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played151732171532
Wins47%47%47%47%47%47%
Draws27%24%25%18%27%22%
Loses27%29%28%35%27%31%

Form: Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDWLWDWW • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Willem II De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total193150322759
GF avg1.31.81.61.91.81.8
GA total132538282351
GA avg0.91.51.21.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWillem IIDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%72%84%88%
1.547%31%63%47%
2.516%6%31%19%
3.53%6%6%6%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWillem IIDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets459314
Failed to score314145

Penalties

MetricWillem IIDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricWillem IIDe Graafschap
Wins34
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-54-01-4
Biggest losses1-25-11-42-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricWillem IIDe Graafschap
Form59%41%
Att60%40%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Double chance : Willem II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Dafabet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ Betano
No3.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 1.12 (league 1.73), De Graafschap = 1.12 (league 1.45)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 35.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1