Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:00 • Jan Louwers Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.73) 1.99 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 21.7% 48.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 3.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.7% 9.3% 9.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC EindhovenDe Graafschap
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack41%53%
Defense65%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Eindhoven De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins50%29%39%47%50%48%
Draws13%12%12%18%25%21%
Loses38%59%48%35%25%30%

Form: FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLLLLWLDWLWWWLWDLLWLLWWLW • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDLWLW

League goals

Metric FC Eindhoven De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total291847322961
GF avg1.81.11.41.91.81.8
GA total253257282351
GA avg1.61.91.71.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC EindhovenDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%76%85%85%
1.536%52%64%45%
2.524%24%30%18%
3.59%12%6%6%
4.53%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC EindhovenDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets538325
Failed to score4610145

Penalties

MetricFC EindhovenDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricFC EindhovenDe Graafschap
Wins34
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-46-01-42-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against4643

Model comparison

MetricFC EindhovenDe Graafschap
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h20%80%
Goals22%78%
Total41.7%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Eindhoven = 1.46 (league 1.73), De Graafschap = 1.99 (league 1.45)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 3.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
1 4.7% 9.3% 9.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.6% 3.3% 3.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 48.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1