Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:45 • De Vijverberg
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.74) 2.31 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 19.5% 41.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack53%47%
Defense41%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played171633161733
Wins47%50%48%13%47%30%
Draws18%25%21%13%12%12%
Loses35%25%30%75%41%58%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDLWLW • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLLLDW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total322961223557
GF avg1.91.81.81.42.11.7
GA total282351343266
GA avg1.61.41.52.11.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%76%88%
1.564%45%52%61%
2.530%18%33%33%
3.56%6%12%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score145538

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Wins42
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-42-00-44-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Form64%36%
Att53%47%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : De Graafschap or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet
Away3.84 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.24 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.34 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ Marathonbet
No3.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 2.08 (league 1.74), Jong AZ = 2.31 (league 1.45)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 41.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1