Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:45 •
De Vijverberg
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.75)
2.39 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 19.3% | 42.8% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| De Graafschap | 0 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 63% |
| Defense | 44% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 47% | 47% | 47% | 18% | 47% | 32% |
| Draws | 18% | 29% | 24% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Loses | 35% | 24% | 29% | 71% | 41% | 56% |
De GraafschapWLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDLWLWD
Jong AZLLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 31 | 63 | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 28 | 25 | 53 | 34 | 32 | 66 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | De Graafschap | Jong AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 85% | 76% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 18% | 32% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 12% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | De Graafschap | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw4.55 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.35 @ William Hill
No3.25 @ Bet365
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League standings
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