Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:45 •
GelreDome
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.73)
1.14 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 24.4% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitesse | 0 | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 59% | 59% |
| Defense | 76% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 38% | 41% | 39% | 29% | 19% | 24% |
| Draws | 25% | 29% | 27% | 29% | 19% | 24% |
| Loses | 38% | 29% | 33% | 41% | 63% | 52% |
Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLDWDLDWDLWWLWW • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 27 | 51 | 27 | 18 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 73% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | 39% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 15% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 66.67% | 2 | 66.67% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 33.33% | 1 | 33.33% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Vitesse or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.65 (league 1.73), Jong Ajax = 1.14 (league 1.45)
| Jong Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitesse | 0 | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 26.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1