Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:45 •
GelreDome
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.75)
1.37 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 22.2% | 27.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong Ajax | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitesse | 0 | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 61% | 39% |
| Defense | 61% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 35% | 41% | 38% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| Loses | 35% | 29% | 32% | 41% | 65% | 53% |
VitesseLDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLDWDLDWDLWWLWWD
Jong AjaxLWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDWLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 27 | 54 | 27 | 20 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 27 | 25 | 52 | 28 | 35 | 63 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 74% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 50% | 41% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 15% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitesse | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.50 @ Betfair
Away4.94 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.51 @ 188Bet
No2.65 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…