Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 18:00 •
De Geusselt
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.74)
0.78 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 24.5% | 17.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Helmond Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MVV | 0 | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 31% | 13% |
| Defense | 31% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 35% | 18% | 26% | 41% | 12% | 26% |
| Draws | 24% | 29% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 21% |
| Loses | 41% | 53% | 47% | 35% | 71% | 53% |
Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDDWDLL • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLDDLDLWWLLDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 14 | 40 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 33 | 36 | 69 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 88% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 53% | 32% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 35% | 6% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 21% | 3% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Advice: Double chance : MVV or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.64 (league 1.74), Helmond Sport = 0.78 (league 1.45)
| Helmond Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MVV | 0 | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 17.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1