Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
GelreDome
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.75)
0.91 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.6% | 19.4% | 14.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| MVV | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vitesse | 0 | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 25% |
| Defense | 67% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 39% | 44% | 42% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 28% |
| Loses | 33% | 28% | 31% | 39% | 56% | 47% |
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MVVLLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDDWDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 30 | 63 | 26 | 15 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 28 | 25 | 53 | 33 | 38 | 71 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vitesse | MVV | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 78% | 61% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 47% | 36% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 17% | 14% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 6% | 3% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vitesse | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 87% | 13% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.37 @ Dafabet
Draw5.60 @ Dafabet
Away7.80 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.43 @ Unibet
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League standings
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