Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:30 • St. Jakob-Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.91) 1.51 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 21.4% 28.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 2.9% 4.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Luzern
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack73%40%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Basel 1893 FC Luzern
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%50%67%0%67%33%
Draws0%0%0%33%33%33%
Loses0%50%33%67%0%33%

Form: FC Basel 1893: LWWLWW • FC Luzern: WDLWDL

League goals

Metric FC Basel 1893 FC Luzern
HATHAT
GF total6612369
GF avg3.01.52.01.02.01.5
GA total268549
GA avg1.01.51.31.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Basel 1893FC Luzern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%100%83%
1.550%33%33%67%
2.533%17%17%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Luzern
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Luzern
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Luzern
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-3
Biggest losses3-11-2
Goals For4313
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Luzern
Form71%29%
Att65%35%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Basel 1893 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ 1xBet
Draw4.75 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.51 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Basel 1893 = 2.04 (league 1.91), FC Luzern = 1.51 (league 1.32)

FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 2.9% 4.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1