Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.91) 0.98 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 29.5% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Grasshoppers
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 11.8% 11.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoGrasshoppers
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack31%50%
Defense38%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano Grasshoppers
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%0%17%
Draws33%0%17%33%67%50%
Loses33%100%67%33%33%33%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLD • Grasshoppers: LLDDDW

League goals

Metric FC Lugano Grasshoppers
HATHAT
GF total5167310
GF avg1.70.31.02.31.01.7
GA total48126410
GA avg1.32.72.02.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoGrasshoppers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%100%
1.517%50%50%50%
2.517%33%17%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoGrasshoppers
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoGrasshoppers
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoGrasshoppers
Wins10
Draws03
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-1
Biggest losses1-24-02-32-1
Goals For3131
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoGrasshoppers
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total53.0%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : FC Lugano or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ Marathonbet
Away4.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.16 (league 1.91), Grasshoppers = 0.98 (league 1.32)

Grasshoppers
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 11.8% 11.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.9% 7.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1