Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.91) 2.57 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 14.3% 73.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.8%
0 - 3
11.0%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Sion
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 3.9% 10.0% 12.8% 11.0% 7.0% 3.6%
1 2.6% 6.8% 8.7% 7.5% 4.8% 2.5%
2 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernFC Sion
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack41%18%
Defense59%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern FC Sion
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%75%43%25%67%43%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses67%0%29%50%0%29%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLW • FC Sion: WWDLWLD

League goals

Metric FC Luzern FC Sion
HATHAT
GF total38114610
GF avg1.02.01.61.02.01.4
GA total5510347
GA avg1.71.31.40.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernFC Sion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%86%43%57%
1.543%57%43%43%
2.514%0%43%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernFC Sion
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernFC Sion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernFC Sion
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-34-02-3
Biggest losses1-20-2
Goals For1343
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernFC Sion
Form58%42%
Att70%30%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h80%20%
Goals56%44%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : FC Luzern or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 0.68 (league 1.91), FC Sion = 2.57 (league 1.32)

FC Sion
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 3.9% 10.0% 12.8% 11.0% 7.0% 3.6%
1 2.6% 6.8% 8.7% 7.5% 4.8% 2.5%
2 0.9% 2.3% 3.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 73.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1