Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 • St. Jakob-Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.22 (league 1.91) 0.98 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.5% 6.6% 3.9%
best score tips
4 - 0
7.3%
4 - 1
7.1%
3 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 6.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack45%35%
Defense70%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Basel 1893 FC Winterthur
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%60%63%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%25%25%25%
Loses33%40%38%75%75%75%

Form: FC Basel 1893: LWWLWWLW • FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLL

League goals

Metric FC Basel 1893 FC Winterthur
HATHAT
GF total79166410
GF avg2.31.82.01.51.01.3
GA total4610111425
GA avg1.31.21.32.83.53.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%100%
1.550%38%50%88%
2.538%13%0%75%
3.513%0%0%38%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
Wins20
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-12-45-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Winterthur
Form90%10%
Att56%44%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total80.2%19.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : FC Basel 1893 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Bet365
Draw6.77 @ Pinnacle
Away9.20 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Basel 1893 = 4.22 (league 1.91), FC Winterthur = 0.98 (league 1.32)

FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 4.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 6.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1