Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 • Stockhorn Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.92) 1.68 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 24.1% 49.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Servette FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ThunServette FC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%45%
Defense55%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Thun Servette FC
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins33%80%63%20%33%25%
Draws33%0%13%40%0%25%
Loses33%20%25%40%67%50%

Form: FC Thun: WWWWDLLW • Servette FC: LLDDLWWL

League goals

Metric FC Thun Servette FC
HATHAT
GF total412168412
GF avg1.32.42.01.61.31.5
GA total571210515
GA avg1.71.41.52.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ThunServette FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%88%75%
1.575%25%38%63%
2.513%25%13%38%
3.513%13%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ThunServette FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricFC ThunServette FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC ThunServette FC
Wins42
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-21-43-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricFC ThunServette FC
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Servette FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Thun = 1.15 (league 1.92), Servette FC = 1.68 (league 1.31)

Servette FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 5.9% 9.9% 8.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 49.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1