Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.88) 1.44 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 24.9% 37.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Zurich
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.6% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.1% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoFC Zurich
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack40%40%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano FC Zurich
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%50%50%
Draws25%0%13%0%25%13%
Loses25%75%50%50%25%38%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWW • FC Zurich: LDWLWWWL

League goals

Metric FC Lugano FC Zurich
HATHAT
GF total75127613
GF avg1.81.31.51.81.51.6
GA total510159615
GA avg1.32.51.92.31.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoFC Zurich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%100%
1.538%50%63%38%
2.525%25%25%38%
3.513%13%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoFC Zurich
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoFC Zurich
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoFC Zurich
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-43-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-43-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoFC Zurich
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away3.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.44 (league 1.88), FC Zurich = 1.44 (league 1.36)

FC Zurich
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.6% 8.1% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.1% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1