Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:30 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.91) 1.21 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 27.7% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lausanne
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 9.2% 11.1% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.1% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernLausanne
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack45%40%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern Lausanne
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%75%38%50%0%25%
Draws50%25%38%0%50%25%
Loses50%0%25%50%50%50%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWD • Lausanne: WLLLLDDW

League goals

Metric FC Luzern Lausanne
HATHAT
GF total681410313
GF avg1.52.01.82.50.81.6
GA total85136612
GA avg2.01.31.61.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernLausanne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%88%75%
1.550%63%25%63%
2.525%13%25%13%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernLausanne
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernLausanne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernLausanne
Wins11
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-35-0
Biggest losses1-21-23-1
Goals For3351
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernLausanne
Form62%38%
Att53%47%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Luzern or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 1.18 (league 1.91), Lausanne = 1.21 (league 1.32)

Lausanne
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 9.2% 11.1% 6.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.1% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 36.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1