Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:30 • Stade de Genève
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.13 (league 1.88) 1.92 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 20.5% 34.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Servette FC 0 1.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.1% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricServette FCFC Lugano
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack47%47%
Defense53%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Servette FC FC Lugano
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%25%22%60%25%44%
Draws40%0%22%20%0%11%
Loses40%75%56%20%75%44%

Form: Servette FC: LLDDLWWLL • FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Servette FC FC Lugano
HATHAT
GF total85138513
GF avg1.61.31.41.61.31.4
GA total1081851015
GA avg2.02.02.01.02.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineServette FCFC Lugano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%78%89%
1.533%67%33%44%
2.511%44%22%22%
3.511%11%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricServette FCFC Lugano
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricServette FCFC Lugano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricServette FCFC Lugano
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-12-4
Biggest losses1-43-11-24-0
Goals For4234
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricServette FCFC Lugano
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Servette FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Servette FC = 2.13 (league 1.88), FC Lugano = 1.92 (league 1.36)

FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Servette FC 0 1.7% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.7% 7.1% 6.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1