Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.92) 1.52 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 25.4% 44.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 6.8% 10.3% 7.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.6% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoFC Luzern
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack47%59%
Defense71%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano FC Luzern
HATHAT
Played5495510
Wins60%25%44%0%60%30%
Draws20%0%11%60%40%50%
Loses20%75%44%40%0%20%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWW • FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDD

League goals

Metric FC Lugano FC Luzern
HATHAT
GF total851381018
GF avg1.61.31.41.62.01.8
GA total5101510717
GA avg1.02.51.72.01.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoFC Luzern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%100%90%
1.533%44%60%70%
2.522%22%20%10%
3.511%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoFC Luzern
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoFC Luzern
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoFC Luzern
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-4—2-3
Biggest losses1-24-01-2—
Goals For3433
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoFC Luzern
Form63%38%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : FC Lugano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away3.95 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.17 (league 1.92), FC Luzern = 1.52 (league 1.32)

FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 6.8% 10.3% 7.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.2% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.6% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1