Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stockhorn Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.95) 0.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 11.6% 7.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
2 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ThunFC Winterthur
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack39%26%
Defense61%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Thun FC Winterthur
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins50%83%70%0%0%0%
Draws25%0%10%40%20%30%
Loses25%17%20%60%80%70%

Form: FC Thun: WWWWDLLWWW • FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLD

League goals

Metric FC Thun FC Winterthur
HATHAT
GF total713208412
GF avg1.82.22.01.60.81.2
GA total6713131730
GA avg1.51.21.32.63.43.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ThunFC Winterthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%70%100%
1.570%20%50%90%
2.520%20%0%70%
3.510%10%0%30%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ThunFC Winterthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricFC ThunFC Winterthur
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC ThunFC Winterthur
Wins40
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-4——
Biggest losses1-34-22-45-0
Goals For3422
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricFC ThunFC Winterthur
Form90%10%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Thun or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 188Bet
Draw5.83 @ Pinnacle
Away8.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.52.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Thun = 3.14 (league 1.95), FC Winterthur = 0.91 (league 1.32)

FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.5% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.1% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 7.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1