Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 18:00 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.91) 1.33 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 24.4% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
FC ST. Gallen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack46%85%
Defense85%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano FC ST. Gallen
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins67%43%54%63%60%62%
Draws17%0%8%0%0%0%
Loses17%57%38%38%40%38%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWW • FC ST. Gallen: WWWLWWLLWWLLW

League goals

Metric FC Lugano FC ST. Gallen
HATHAT
GF total10818161127
GF avg1.71.11.42.02.22.1
GA total512178917
GA avg0.81.71.31.01.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%92%69%
1.531%38%54%31%
2.515%15%23%23%
3.58%8%23%8%
4.50%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
HATHAT
Clean sheets224404
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
Wins33
Draws10
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-45-01-4
Biggest losses1-24-01-43-1
Goals For3454
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoFC ST. Gallen
Form57%43%
Att35%65%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC ST. Gallen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.61 (league 1.91), FC ST. Gallen = 1.33 (league 1.33)

FC ST. Gallen
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1