Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:00 • Letzigrund Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.91) 2.94 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 15.2% 62.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Zurich 0 1.4% 4.1% 6.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 5.8% 3.4%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack17%72%
Defense39%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Zurich FC Luzern
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%17%50%33%
Draws0%17%8%50%33%42%
Loses67%50%58%33%17%25%

Form: FC Zurich: LDWLWWWLLLLL • FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLW

League goals

Metric FC Zurich FC Luzern
HATHAT
GF total10616141024
GF avg1.71.01.32.31.72.0
GA total1492310919
GA avg2.31.51.91.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ZurichFC Luzern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%92%83%
1.550%50%58%67%
2.517%33%25%8%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Wins31
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-36-02-3
Biggest losses0-43-01-22-0
Goals For3363
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Form0%100%
Att19%81%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total41.6%58.4%

Advice: Winner : FC Luzern

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Zurich = 1.34 (league 1.91), FC Luzern = 2.94 (league 1.33)

FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Zurich 0 1.4% 4.1% 6.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.0% 7.9% 5.8% 3.4%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.3% 3.9% 2.3%
3 0.6% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 62.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1