Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.91) 2.18 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 18.2% 30.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Servette FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernServette FC
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack75%50%
Defense44%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern Servette FC
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%43%31%29%33%31%
Draws50%29%38%29%0%15%
Loses33%29%31%43%67%54%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWL • Servette FC: LLDDLWWLLWWLL

League goals

Metric FC Luzern Servette FC
HATHAT
GF total141226101020
GF avg2.31.72.01.41.71.5
GA total101222121325
GA avg1.71.71.71.72.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernServette FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%85%85%85%
1.562%69%46%54%
2.523%15%15%38%
3.58%0%8%15%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernServette FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernServette FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernServette FC
Wins12
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-01-44-2
Goals For6343
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernServette FC
Form45%55%
Att60%40%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h15%85%
Goals43%57%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Luzern or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.26 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.58 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 2.65 (league 1.91), Servette FC = 2.18 (league 1.33)

Servette FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.1% 4.6% 5.0% 3.6% 2.0% 0.9%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.5% 5.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 30.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1