Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 19:30 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.40 (league 1.88) 0.75 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.9% 4.8% 2.2%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.0%
3 - 0
8.2%
5 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 6.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.0% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack100%50%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern FC Winterthur
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%43%29%14%0%7%
Draws57%29%43%29%14%21%
Loses29%29%29%57%86%71%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLD • FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric FC Luzern FC Winterthur
HATHAT
GF total16122812416
GF avg2.31.72.01.70.61.1
GA total121224162541
GA avg1.71.71.72.33.62.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernFC Winterthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%86%57%100%
1.564%71%43%86%
2.521%14%7%64%
3.57%0%7%29%
4.57%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011156

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Wins11
Draws31
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-2—
Biggest losses1-22-02-45-0
Goals For6342
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h93%7%
Goals68%32%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : FC Luzern and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 188Bet
Draw5.12 @ Pinnacle
Away7.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 4.40 (league 1.88), FC Winterthur = 0.75 (league 1.36)

FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 6.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.0% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1