Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:30 • Stade de la Tuiliere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.86) 1.30 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 19.6% 20.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lausanne 0 2.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLausanneFC Lugano
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack47%40%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lausanne FC Lugano
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins50%14%33%50%43%47%
Draws13%43%27%25%0%13%
Loses38%43%40%25%57%40%

Form: Lausanne: WLLLLDDWDWLWDLW • FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Lausanne FC Lugano
HATHAT
GF total2072712820
GF avg2.51.01.81.51.11.3
GA total13102391221
GA avg1.61.41.51.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLausanneFC Lugano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%87%73%
1.547%53%27%40%
2.520%13%13%20%
3.513%0%7%7%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLausanneFC Lugano
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricLausanneFC Lugano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLausanneFC Lugano
Wins13
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-12-4
Biggest losses1-33-11-34-0
Goals For5234
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricLausanneFC Lugano
Form41%59%
Att54%46%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lausanne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lausanne = 2.29 (league 1.86), FC Lugano = 1.30 (league 1.35)

FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lausanne 0 2.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 13 , vtd1