Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:00 • Stadion Schützenwiese
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.88) 2.38 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 19.1% 56.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
7.7%
1 - 3
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5%
1 3.2% 7.7% 9.2% 7.3% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.2% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack58%25%
Defense0%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Winterthur FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins14%13%13%57%38%47%
Draws29%13%20%14%25%20%
Loses57%75%67%29%38%33%

Form: FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLLW • FC Basel 1893: LWWLWWLWWLWDLDD

League goals

Metric FC Winterthur FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
GF total12719121123
GF avg1.70.91.31.71.41.5
GA total16264251217
GA avg2.33.32.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%80%60%
1.547%80%40%27%
2.513%60%27%13%
3.57%27%7%7%
4.50%13%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Clean sheets000336
Failed to score156213

Penalties

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Wins12
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-34-10-3
Biggest losses2-45-01-25-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against4525

Model comparison

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Form50%50%
Att70%30%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h7%93%
Goals11%89%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Basel 1893

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.46 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.49 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Winterthur = 1.36 (league 1.88), FC Basel 1893 = 2.38 (league 1.36)

FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5%
1 3.2% 7.7% 9.2% 7.3% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.2% 6.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4%
3 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 56.6%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1