Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.88) 1.30 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 25.0% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Servette FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.8% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoServette FC
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack44%100%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano Servette FC
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%38%44%25%38%31%
Draws25%13%19%38%13%25%
Loses25%50%38%38%50%44%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLDD • Servette FC: LLDDLWWLLWWLLDDW

League goals

Metric FC Lugano Servette FC
HATHAT
GF total12820141327
GF avg1.51.01.31.81.61.7
GA total91221161531
GA avg1.11.51.32.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoServette FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%88%81%
1.525%38%50%56%
2.513%19%19%38%
3.56%6%13%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoServette FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoServette FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoServette FC
Wins32
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-44-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-44-2
Goals For3443
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoServette FC
Form62%38%
Att31%69%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Servette FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 188Bet
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.52 (league 1.88), Servette FC = 1.30 (league 1.36)

Servette FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 6.0% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.8% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1