Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 19:30 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.88) 1.96 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 21.8% 45.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 2.9% 5.8% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.6% 9.0% 8.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernFC Basel 1893
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack35%18%
Defense18%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins13%33%24%50%44%47%
Draws50%22%35%25%22%24%
Loses38%44%41%25%33%29%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLLL • FC Basel 1893: LWWLWWLWWLWDLDDWD

League goals

Metric FC Luzern FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
GF total171330121325
GF avg2.11.41.81.51.41.5
GA total15183351318
GA avg1.92.01.90.61.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernFC Basel 1893
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%76%59%
1.553%76%41%24%
2.518%24%24%12%
3.56%6%6%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernFC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Clean sheets112437
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernFC Basel 1893
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernFC Basel 1893
Wins12
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-25-1
Goals For6343
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernFC Basel 1893
Form14%86%
Att67%33%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Basel 1893

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away2.03 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 1.56 (league 1.88), FC Basel 1893 = 1.96 (league 1.36)

FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 2.9% 5.8% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.6% 9.0% 8.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 45.7%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1