Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 19:30 • Stadion Schützenwiese
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.88) 3.22 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 11.3% 70.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.7%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Thun
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 1.6% 5.0% 8.1% 8.7% 7.0% 4.5%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 3.1% 2.0%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack43%43%
Defense21%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Winterthur FC Thun
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins13%11%12%56%75%65%
Draws25%22%24%11%0%6%
Loses63%67%65%33%25%29%

Form: FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLLWLD • FC Thun: WWWWDLLWWWWWWLLWL

League goals

Metric FC Winterthur FC Thun
HATHAT
GF total13922161531
GF avg1.61.01.31.81.91.8
GA total18284611920
GA avg2.33.12.71.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC WinterthurFC Thun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%100%88%76%
1.547%82%59%24%
2.512%53%24%12%
3.56%24%12%6%
4.50%12%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
HATHAT
Clean sheets000134
Failed to score156202

Penalties

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Wins16
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-34-10-4
Biggest losses2-45-01-34-2
Goals For4344
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Thun

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.55 @ Betano
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away1.86 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Winterthur = 0.94 (league 1.88), FC Thun = 3.22 (league 1.36)

FC Thun
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 1.6% 5.0% 8.1% 8.7% 7.0% 4.5%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.2%
2 0.7% 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 3.1% 2.0%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 70.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1