Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 19:30 • Letzigrund Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.88) 1.48 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 24.7% 38.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Zurich 0 5.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.8% 11.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ZurichFC Lugano
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack59%41%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Zurich FC Lugano
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%38%41%56%38%47%
Draws11%25%18%22%13%18%
Loses44%38%41%22%50%35%

Form: FC Zurich: LDWLWWWLLLLLWDWWD • FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLDDW

League goals

Metric FC Zurich FC Lugano
HATHAT
GF total16102616824
GF avg1.81.31.51.81.01.4
GA total181230111223
GA avg2.01.51.81.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ZurichFC Lugano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%94%82%71%
1.559%53%29%41%
2.518%24%18%18%
3.50%6%12%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ZurichFC Lugano
HATHAT
Clean sheets101235
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricFC ZurichFC Lugano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFC ZurichFC Lugano
Wins33
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-22-4
Biggest losses0-43-01-34-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricFC ZurichFC Lugano
Form58%42%
Att59%41%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC Zurich or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.35 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Zurich = 1.44 (league 1.88), FC Lugano = 1.48 (league 1.36)

FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Zurich 0 5.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.8% 11.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.3% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 38.1%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1