Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stade de la Tuiliere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.88) 1.45 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 19.5% 22.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lausanne 0 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.7% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLausanneFC Luzern
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack20%25%
Defense80%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lausanne FC Luzern
HATHAT
Played98179918
Wins44%13%29%11%33%22%
Draws22%50%35%44%22%33%
Loses33%38%35%44%44%44%

Form: Lausanne: WLLLLDDWDWLWDLWDD • FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Lausanne FC Luzern
HATHAT
GF total20727181331
GF avg2.20.91.62.01.41.7
GA total131023171835
GA avg1.41.31.41.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLausanneFC Luzern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%89%89%
1.541%47%50%78%
2.518%12%17%22%
3.512%0%6%6%
4.512%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLausanneFC Luzern
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricLausanneFC Luzern
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricLausanneFC Luzern
Wins11
Draws23
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-26-02-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-34-1
Goals For5263
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricLausanneFC Luzern
Form86%14%
Att44%56%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lausanne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 188Bet
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Unibet
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lausanne = 2.34 (league 1.88), FC Luzern = 1.45 (league 1.36)

FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lausanne 0 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.7% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.2% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod5