Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.88) 1.77 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 18.9% 26.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
BSC Young Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.5% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.4% 7.7% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoBSC Young Boys
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack35%65%
Defense70%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano BSC Young Boys
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%44%50%56%33%44%
Draws22%11%17%22%33%28%
Loses22%44%33%22%33%28%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLDDWW • BSC Young Boys: WDLDWWWLLWDDWWDLWL

League goals

Metric FC Lugano BSC Young Boys
HATHAT
GF total16925201838
GF avg1.81.01.42.22.02.1
GA total111223122335
GA avg1.21.31.31.32.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoBSC Young Boys
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%78%78%
1.528%39%61%50%
2.517%17%44%28%
3.511%6%22%22%
4.50%0%6%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoBSC Young Boys
HATHAT
Clean sheets246404
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoBSC Young Boys
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoBSC Young Boys
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-45-01-4
Biggest losses1-34-02-65-0
Goals For4454
Goals Against3465

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoBSC Young Boys
Form53%47%
Att35%65%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Lugano or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 2.49 (league 1.88), BSC Young Boys = 1.77 (league 1.36)

BSC Young Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 1.4% 2.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.5% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.4% 7.7% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 26.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1