Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:00 • Stockhorn Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.88) 1.15 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 26.1% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Zurich
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ThunFC Zurich
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack43%33%
Defense67%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Thun FC Zurich
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins56%78%67%40%38%39%
Draws11%0%6%10%25%17%
Loses33%22%28%50%38%44%

Form: FC Thun: WWWWDLLWWWWWWLLWLW • FC Zurich: LDWLWWWLLLLLWDWWDL

League goals

Metric FC Thun FC Zurich
HATHAT
GF total161935161026
GF avg1.82.11.91.61.31.4
GA total111021191231
GA avg1.21.11.21.91.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ThunFC Zurich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%72%94%
1.561%22%56%50%
2.528%11%17%22%
3.517%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ThunFC Zurich
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score202235

Penalties

MetricFC ThunFC Zurich
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFC ThunFC Zurich
Wins63
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-43-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-20-43-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricFC ThunFC Zurich
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Thun or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Thun = 1.44 (league 1.88), FC Zurich = 1.15 (league 1.36)

FC Zurich
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 7.5% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.8% 12.4% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1