Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 17:00 • Swissporarena
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.88) 1.40 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 25.4% 37.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
8.7%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 6.2% 8.7% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.5% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernFC Lugano
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack39%50%
Defense39%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern FC Lugano
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%40%26%60%44%53%
Draws44%20%32%20%11%16%
Loses44%40%42%20%44%32%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLLLLW • FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLDDWWW

League goals

Metric FC Luzern FC Lugano
HATHAT
GF total18173519928
GF avg2.01.71.81.91.01.5
GA total171835111223
GA avg1.91.81.81.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernFC Lugano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%84%84%63%
1.553%74%32%37%
2.521%21%21%16%
3.511%5%11%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernFC Lugano
HATHAT
Clean sheets123347
Failed to score022033

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernFC Lugano
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernFC Lugano
Wins13
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-43-02-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-34-0
Goals For6444
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernFC Lugano
Form21%79%
Att44%56%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Lugano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.62 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 1.38 (league 1.88), FC Lugano = 1.40 (league 1.36)

FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 6.2% 8.7% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.5% 12.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 37.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1