Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 15:30 • St. Jakob-Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.84) 1.14 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 30.6% 42.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Thun
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 13.9% 15.8% 9.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Thun
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack36%68%
Defense73%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Basel 1893 FC Thun
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%55%48%64%80%71%
Draws40%18%29%9%0%5%
Loses20%27%24%27%20%24%

Form: FC Basel 1893: LWWLWWLWWLWDLDDWDWDDW • FC Thun: WWWWDLLWWWWWWLLWLWWWW

League goals

Metric FC Basel 1893 FC Thun
HATHAT
GF total141933242246
GF avg1.41.71.62.22.22.2
GA total71724141125
GA avg0.71.51.11.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Basel 1893FC Thun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%67%90%81%
1.543%24%67%24%
2.524%14%38%10%
3.510%5%24%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Thun
HATHAT
Clean sheets437134
Failed to score314202

Penalties

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Thun
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Thun
Wins26
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-10-4
Biggest losses1-25-11-34-2
Goals For4444
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricFC Basel 1893FC Thun
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Thun

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.88 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.76 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Basel 1893 = 0.84 (league 1.84), FC Thun = 1.14 (league 1.35)

FC Thun
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Basel 1893 0 13.9% 15.8% 9.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 42.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1