Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:30 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.51) 1.35 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 28.3% 52.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 13.1% 17.6% 11.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenkUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack70%90%
Defense30%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%100%50%71%
Draws33%25%29%0%50%29%
Loses33%50%43%0%0%0%

Form: Genk: LDLWWDL • Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Genk Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total45910515
GF avg1.31.31.33.31.32.1
GA total4610033
GA avg1.31.51.40.00.80.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenkUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%86%29%
1.529%43%57%14%
2.514%0%43%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenkUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricGenkUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGenkUnion St. Gilloise
Wins23
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-25-02-3
Biggest losses0-12-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against2202

Model comparison

MetricGenkUnion St. Gilloise
Form35%65%
Att44%56%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h20%80%
Goals23%77%
Total29.2%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genk = 0.69 (league 1.51), Union St. Gilloise = 1.35 (league 1.25)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 13.1% 17.6% 11.8% 5.3% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 12.1% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 52.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1