Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 11:30 • Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.52) 1.39 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 23.1% 29.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Truiden 0 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.4% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. TruidenGenk
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack26%37%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Truiden Genk
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%25%25%25%
Draws0%50%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%25%25%50%50%50%

Form: St. Truiden: WDWWWDLL • Genk: LDLWWDLL

League goals

Metric St. Truiden Genk
HATHAT
GF total74115510
GF avg1.81.01.41.31.31.3
GA total5496612
GA avg1.31.01.11.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. TruidenGenk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%100%
1.550%25%25%50%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. TruidenGenk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricSt. TruidenGenk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSt. TruidenGenk
Wins32
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-21-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-22-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricSt. TruidenGenk
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%62%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Genk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away2.13 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St. Truiden = 1.77 (league 1.52), Genk = 1.39 (league 1.22)

Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Truiden 0 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.4% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 29.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1