Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.51) 1.55 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 25.2% 60.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Anderlecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
OH Leuven 0 11.6% 18.0% 14.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOH LeuvenAnderlecht
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack27%27%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric OH Leuven Anderlecht
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins25%25%25%40%67%50%
Draws25%0%13%40%0%25%
Loses50%75%63%20%33%25%

Form: OH Leuven: DLLLWWLL • Anderlecht: WWLWLDDW

League goals

Metric OH Leuven Anderlecht
HATHAT
GF total5279413
GF avg1.30.50.91.81.31.6
GA total61016628
GA avg1.52.52.01.20.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOH LeuvenAnderlecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%50%
1.513%75%50%38%
2.50%25%13%13%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOH LeuvenAnderlecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricOH LeuvenAnderlecht
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricOH LeuvenAnderlecht
Wins22
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-15-20-2
Biggest losses1-25-02-32-0
Goals For2152
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricOH LeuvenAnderlecht
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Anderlecht and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): OH Leuven = 0.60 (league 1.51), Anderlecht = 1.55 (league 1.25)

Anderlecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
OH Leuven 0 11.6% 18.0% 14.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 60.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1