Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:30 • Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.51) 1.04 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 30.6% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 13.1% 13.6% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack47%32%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charleroi KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%50%25%38%
Draws50%25%38%50%50%50%
Loses25%25%25%0%25%13%

Form: Charleroi: DDLDWWWL • KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Charleroi KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total66126410
GF avg1.51.51.51.51.01.3
GA total5510448
GA avg1.31.31.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharleroiKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%88%75%
1.538%38%25%25%
2.525%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-20-1
Biggest losses1-21-02-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Charleroi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ SBO
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charleroi = 0.99 (league 1.51), KV Mechelen = 1.04 (league 1.25)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 13.1% 13.6% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1