Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:45 • Stade Joseph Mariën
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.65 (league 1.51) 1.12 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 0.9% 0.4%
best score tips
5 - 1
3.8%
5 - 0
3.4%
4 - 1
2.5%
Score & goals probability table
KVC Westerlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKVC Westerlo
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack53%73%
Defense93%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise KVC Westerlo
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins100%60%75%50%25%38%
Draws0%40%25%0%25%13%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWW • KVC Westerlo: LWLLWWLD

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise KVC Westerlo
HATHAT
GF total1071751116
GF avg3.31.42.11.32.82.0
GA total04441418
GA avg0.00.80.51.03.52.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseKVC Westerlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%38%75%75%
1.563%13%63%50%
2.538%0%38%38%
3.513%0%13%38%
4.513%0%13%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKVC Westerlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKVC Westerlo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKVC Westerlo
Wins32
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-25-2
Goals For5335
Goals Against0225

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKVC Westerlo
Form65%35%
Att42%58%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals52%48%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Union St. Gilloise and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Betano
Draw5.90 @ Betano
Away8.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 7.65 (league 1.51), KVC Westerlo = 1.12 (league 1.25)

KVC Westerlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 0.9% · Away win 0.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1